Eirin Sakaguchi, Hiroyuki Naruse, Yuya Ishihara, Hidekazu Hattori, Akira Yamada, Hideki Kawai, Takashi Muramatsu, Fumihiko Kitagawa, Hiroshi Takahashi, Junnichi Ishii, Masayoshi Sarai, Masanobu Yanase, Yukio Ozaki, Kuniaki Saito, Hideo Izawa
Heliyon, 10(13) e32452, Jul 15, 2024
The CHA2DS2 -VASc score is a vital clinical tool for evaluating thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This study investigated the efficacy of the CHA2DS2 -VASc score in a cohort of 737 heterogeneous patients (mean age: 63 years) receiving care in cardiac intensive care units (CICUs), with a creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 upon admission and discharge. Incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) was defined as the emergence of a new-onset eGFR<60 mL/min/1.73 m2, accompanied by a decline of >5 mL/min/1.73 m2 compared to that at discharge. The primary endpoint was the incidence of CKD, and the secondary endpoints included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and progression to end-stage kidney disease. In this cohort, 210 (28 %) patients developed CKD. Multivariate analyses revealed that CHA2DS2 -VASc score was a significant independent predictor of incident CKD, regardless of the presence of AF. Integration of CHA2DS2 -VASc scores with eGFR enhanced the predictive accuracy of incident CKD, as evidenced by the improved C-index, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement values (all p < 0.05). Over the 12-month follow-up period, a composite endpoint was observed in 61 patients (8.3 %), with elevated CHA2DS2 -VASc scores being independently associated with this endpoint. In conclusion, CHA2DS2-VASc scores have emerged as robust predictors of both CKD incidence and adverse outcomes. Their inclusion substantially refined the 12-month risk stratification of patients with preserved renal function hospitalized in the CICUs.