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Abstract Purpose The overall goal of our study is to create modified Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score (ASPECTS) determined by the findings on arterial spin labeling imaging (ASL) to predict the prognosis of patients with acute ischemic stroke after successful mechanical thrombectomy (MT). Prior to that, we examined predictive factors including the value of cerebral blood flow (CBF) measured by ASL for occurrence of cerebral infarction at the region of interest (ROI) used in the ASPECTS after successful MT. Methods Of the 92 consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with MT at our institution between April 2013 and April 2021, a total of 26 patients who arrived within 8 h after stroke onset and underwent MT resulting in a thrombolysis in cerebral infarction score of 2B or 3 were analyzed. Magnetic resonance imaging, including diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) and ASL, was performed on arrival and the day after MT. The asymmetry index (AI) of CBF by ASL (ASL-CBF) before MT was calculated for 11 regions of interest using the DWI-Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score. Results Occurrence of infarction after successful MT for ischemic stroke in the anterior circulation can be expected when the formula 0.3211 × history of atrial fibrillation +0.0096 × the AI of ASL-CBF before MT (%) +0.0012 × the time from onset to reperfusion (min) yields a value below 1.0 or when the AI of ASL-CBF before MT is below 61.5%. Conclusion The AI of ASL-CBF before MT or a combination of a history of atrial fibrillation, the AI of ASL-CBF before MT, and the time from onset to reperfusion can be used to predict the occurrence of infarction in patients arriving within 8 h after stroke onset in which reperfusion with MT was successful.

BACKGROUND: The role of visual evoked potential (VEP) in direct clipping of the paraclinoid internal carotid artery (ICA) aneurysm remains uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether intraoperative neuromonitoring with VEP can predict deterioration of visual function after direct clipping of the paraclinoid ICA aneurysm with anterior clinoidectomy. METHODS: Among consecutive 274 patients with unruptured cerebral aneurysm, we enrolled 25 patients with paraclinoid ICA aneurysm treated by direct clipping after anterior clinoidectomy with intraoperative neuromonitoring with VEP in this study. We evaluated the visual acuity loss (VAL) and visual field loss (VFL) before surgery, 1 month after surgery, and at the final follow-up. RESULTS: The VAL at 1 month after surgery (VAL1M) and VAL at the final follow-up (Final VAL) were significantly related to the reduction rate of VEP amplitude at the end of surgery (RedEnd%), more than 76.5%, and the maximal reduction rate of VEP amplitude during surgery (MaxRed%), more than 66.7% to 70%. The VFL at 1 month after surgery (VFL1M) and the VFL at the final follow-up (Final VFL) were significantly related to MaxRed% more than 60.7%. CONCLUSION: VAL1M, Final VAL, VFL1M, and Final VFL could be significantly predicted by the value of RedEnd% and MaxRed% in direct clipping of Al-Rodhan group Ia, Ib, and II paraclinoid ICA aneurysms with anterior clinoidectomy.

The generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) is one of the most common method in the analysis of longitudinal and clustered data in biological sciences. However, issues of model complexity and misspecification can occur when applying the GLMM. To address these issues, we extend the standard GLMM to a nonlinear mixed-effects model based on quasi-linear modeling. An estimation algorithm for the proposed model is provided by extending the penalized quasi-likelihood and the restricted maximum likelihood which are known in the GLMM inference. Also, the conditional AIC is formulated for the proposed model. The proposed model should provide a more flexible fit than the GLMM when there is a nonlinear relation between fixed and random effects. Otherwise, the proposed model is reduced to the GLMM. The performance of the proposed model under model misspecification is evaluated in several simulation studies. In the analysis of respiratory illness data from a randomized controlled trial, we observe the proposed model can capture heterogeneity; that is, it can detect a patient subgroup with specific clinical character in which the treatment is effective.

Clustering is a major unsupervised learning algorithm and is widely applied in data mining and statistical data analyses. Typical examples include k-means, fuzzy c-means, and Gaussian mixture models, which are categorized into hard, soft, and model-based clusterings, respectively. We propose a new clustering, called Pareto clustering, based on the Kolmogorov–Nagumo average, which is defined by a survival function of the Pareto distribution. The proposed algorithm incorporates all the aforementioned clusterings plus maximum-entropy clustering. We introduce a probabilistic framework for the proposed method, in which the underlying distribution to give consistency is discussed. We build the minorize-maximization algorithm to estimate the parameters in Pareto clustering. We compare the performance with existing methods in simulation studies and in benchmark dataset analyses to demonstrate its highly practical utilities.

The kernel canonical correlation analysis based U-statistic (KCCU) is being used to detect nonlinear gene–gene co-associations. Estimating the variance of the KCCU is however computationally intensive. In addition, the kernel canonical correlation analysis (kernel CCA) is not robust to contaminated data. Using a robust kernel mean element and a robust kernel (cross)-covariance operator potentially enables the use of a robust kernel CCA, which is studied in this paper. We first propose an influence function-based estimator for the variance of the KCCU. We then present a non-parametric robust KCCU, which is designed for dealing with contaminated data. The robust KCCU is less sensitive to noise than KCCU. We investigate the proposed method using both synthesized and real data from the Mind Clinical Imaging Consortium (MCIC). We show through simulation studies that the power of the proposed methods is a monotonically increasing function of sample size, and the robust test statistics bring incremental gains in power. To demonstrate the advantage of the robust kernel CCA, we study MCIC data among 22,442 candidate Schizophrenia genes for gene–gene co-associations. We select 768 genes with strong evidence for shedding light on gene–gene interaction networks for Schizophrenia. By performing gene ontology enrichment analysis, pathway analysis, gene–gene network and other studies, the proposed robust methods can find undiscovered genes in addition to significant gene pairs, and demonstrate superior performance over several of current approaches.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is the most life‐threating disease among all digestive system malignancies. We developed a blood mRNA PDAC screening system using real‐time detection PCR to detect the expression of 56 genes, to discriminate PDAC from noncancer subjects. We undertook a clinical study to assess the performance of the developed system. We collected whole blood RNA from 53 PDAC patients, 102 noncancer subjects, 22 patients with chronic pancreatitis, and 23 patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms in a per protocol analysis. The sensitivity of the system for PDAC diagnosis was 73.6% (95% confidence interval, 59.7%‐84.7%). The specificity for noncancer volunteers, chronic pancreatitis, and patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms was 64.7% (54.6%‐73.9%), 63.6% (40.7%‐82.8%), and 47.8% (26.8%‐69.4%), respectively. Importantly, the sensitivity of this system for both stage I and stage II PDAC was 78.6% (57.1%‐100%), suggesting that detection of PDAC by the system is not dependent on the stage of PDAC. These results indicated that the screening system, relying on assessment of changes in mRNA expression in blood cells, is a viable alternative screening strategy for PDAC.

Abstract In the classical discriminant analysis, when two multivariate normal distributions with equal variance–covariance matrices are assumed for two groups, the classical linear discriminant function is optimal with respect to maximizing the standardized difference between the means of two groups. However, for a typical case‐control study, the distributional assumption for the case group often needs to be relaxed in practice. Komori et al. (Generalized t‐statistic for two‐group classification. Biometrics 2015, 71: 404–416) proposed the generalized t‐statistic to obtain a linear discriminant function, which allows for heterogeneity of case group. Their procedure has an optimality property in the class of consideration. We perform a further study of the problem and show that additional improvement is achievable. The approach we propose does not require a parametric distributional assumption on the case group. We further show that the new estimator is efficient, in that no further improvement is possible to construct the linear discriminant function more efficiently. We conduct simulation studies and real data examples to illustrate the finite sample performance and the gain that it produces in comparison with existing methods.

This paper discusses a possible generalization for the maximum entropy principle. A class of generalized entropy is introduced by that of generator functions, in which the maximum generalized distribution model is explicitly derived including q-Gaussian distributions, Wigner semicircle distributions and Pareto distributions. We define a totally geodesic subspace in the total space of all probability density functions in a framework of information geometry. The model of maximum generalized entropy distributions is shown to be totally geodesic. The duality of the model and the estimation in the maximum generalized principle is elucidated to give intrinsic understandings from the point of information geometry.

In this paper, we propose a novel multi-task learning algorithm based on an ensemble learning method. We consider a specific setting of the multi-task learning for binary classification problems, in which features are shared among all tasks and all tasks are targets of performance improvement. We focus on a situation that the shared structures among dataset are represented by divergence between underlying distributions associated with multiple tasks. We discuss properties of the proposed method and investigate validity of the proposed method with numerical experiments.

We introduce a class of paths or one-parameter models connecting arbitrary two probability density functions (pdf's). The class is derived by employing the Kolmogorov-Nagumo average between the two pdf's. There is a variety of such path connectedness on the space of pdf's since the Kolmogorov-Nagumo average is applicable for any convex and strictly increasing function. The information geometric insight is provided for understanding probabilistic properties for statistical methods associated with the path connectedness. The one-parameter model is extended to a multidimensional model, on which the statistical inference is characterized by sufficient statistics.

In ecology predictive models of the geographical distribution of certain species are widely used to capture the spatial diversity. Recently a method of Maxent based on Gibbs distribution is frequently employed to have reasonable accuracy of a target distribution of species at a site using environmental features such as temperature, precipitation, elevation and so on. It requires only presence data, which is a big advantage to the case where absence data is not available or unreliable. It also incorporates our limited knowledge into the model about the target distribution such that the expected values of environmental features are equal to the empirical average. Moreover, the visualization of the inhabiting probability of species is easily done with the aid of geographical coordination information from Global Biodiversity Inventory Facility (GBIF) in a statistical software R. However, the maximum entropy distribution in Maxent is derived from the Boltzmann-Gibbs-Shannon entropy, which causes unstable estimation of the parameters in the model when some outliers in the data are observed. To overcome the weak point and to have deep understandings of the relation among the total number of species, the Boltzmann-Gibbs-Shannon entropy and Simpson's index, we propose a maximum power entropy method based on beta-divergence, which is a special case of U-divergence. It includes the Boltzmann-Gibbs-Shannon entropy as a special case, so it could have better performance of estimation of the target distribution by appropriately choosing the value of the power index beta. We demonstrate the performance of the proposed method by simulation studies as well as publicly available real data.

We propose a new method for clustering based on local minimization of the gamma-divergence, which we call spontaneous clustering. The greatest advantage of the proposed method is that it automatically detects the number of clusters that adequately reflect the data structure. In contrast, existing methods, such as K-means, fuzzy c-means, or model-based clustering need to prescribe the number of clusters. We detect all the local minimum points of the gamma-divergence, by which we define the cluster centers. A necessary and sufficient condition for the gamma-divergence to have local minimum points is also derived in a simple setting. Applications to simulated and real data are presented to compare the proposed method with existing ones.

In the production printing market, the electrophotography system is asked for high durability, and long-life photoconductors are usually implemented in it. Ordinary method of periodic maintenance uses print volume counter and preset limitation value to alert an operator. But damage processes depend on various phenomena and there are difficulties to predict the exact lifespan of each photoconductor. We examined the methodology for developing new risk decision rule by using the logged data of the field machines. In this method, we focused on photoconductor's three basic parameters and used one of the machine learning method "AdaBoost" to find failure signal pattern. These basic parameters were pre-calculated to the physical and statistical characteristic value to estimate abnormality of these value. We selected learning data from the typical fatigue log data and "AdaBoost" algorithm generated the risk decision rule that consist with the weak learners. The field tests showed enough result for practical use. Additionally it was confirmed that this risk decision rule was almost coincident with the photoconductor deterioration model knowledge by "Score plots". We obtained the calculation method to determine the risk of image defect from monitoring signal data log and it can be predicted whether photoconductor should be replaced or not. This failure prediction method can reduce urgent imaging trouble and the loss of photoconductor's lifespan that occurred in the ordinary method.

This paper discusses mathematical and statistical aspects in analysis methods applied to microarray gene expressions. We focus on pattern recognition to extract informative features embedded in the data for prediction of phenotypes. It has been pointed out that there are severely difficult problems due to the unbalance in the number of observed genes compared with the number of observed subjects. We make a reanalysis of microarray gene expression published data to detect many other gene sets with almost the same performance. We conclude in the current stage that it is not possible to extract only informative genes with high performance in the all observed genes. We investigate the reason why this difficulty still exists even though there are actively proposed analysis methods and learning algorithms in statistical machine learning approaches. We focus on the mutual coherence or the absolute value of the Pearson correlations between two genes and describe the distributions of the correlation for the selected set of genes and the total set. We show that the problem of finding informative genes in high dimensional data is ill-posed and that the difficulty is closely related with the mutual coherence. © 2013 Osamu Komori et al.

This paper discusses recent developments for pattern recognition focusing on boosting approach in machine learning. The statistical properties such as Bayes risk consistency for several loss functions are discussed in a probabilistic framework. There are a number of loss functions proposed for different purposes and targets. A unified derivation is given by a generator function U which naturally defines entropy, divergence and loss function. The class of U-loss functions associates with the boosting learning algorithms for the loss minimization, which includes AdaBoost and LogitBoost as a twin generated from Kullback-Leibler divergence, and the (partial) area under the ROC curve. We expand boosting to unsupervised learning, typically density estimation employing U-loss function. Finally, a future perspective in machine learning is discussed.

Background: The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a fundamental tool to assess the discriminant performance for not only a single marker but also a score function combining multiple markers. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for a score function measures the intrinsic ability for the score function to discriminate between the controls and cases. Recently, the partial AUC (pAUC) has been paid more attention than the AUC, because a suitable range of the false positive rate can be focused according to various clinical situations. However, existing pAUC-based methods only handle a few markers and do not take nonlinear combination of markers into consideration. Results: We have developed a new statistical method that focuses on the pAUC based on a boosting technique. The markers are combined componentially for maximizing the pAUC in the boosting algorithm using natural cubic splines or decision stumps (single-level decision trees), according to the values of markers (continuous or discrete). We show that the resulting score plots are useful for understanding how each marker is associated with the outcome variable. We compare the performance of the proposed boosting method with those of other existing methods, and demonstrate the utility using real data sets. As a result, we have much better discrimination performances in the sense of the pAUC in both simulation studies and real data analysis. Conclusions: The proposed method addresses how to combine the markers after a pAUC-based filtering procedure in high dimensional setting. Hence, it provides a consistent way of analyzing data based on the pAUC from maker selection to marker combination for discrimination problems. The method can capture not only linear but also nonlinear association between the outcome variable and the markers, about which the nonlinearity is known to be necessary in general for the maximization of the pAUC. The method also puts importance on the accuracy of classification performance as well as interpretability of the association, by offering simple and smooth resultant score plots for each marker.