C. R. McKenzie, Sumiko Takaoka
18TH WORLD IMACS CONGRESS AND MODSIM09 INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON MODELLING AND SIMULATION 1545-1558 2009年 査読有り
The purpose of this paper is to determine whether there is any mispricing of publicly issued straight corporate bonds in Japan, and to determine what factors explain variations in the degree of mispricing. While there is an extremely large literature devoted to investigating the extent of mispricing of initial public offerings (IPOs) of equity in both the United States, and Japan, there appear to be very few studies examining the extent of mispricing of IPOs of straight corporate bonds in the United States and Japan. The key study for the United States is Datta et al. (1997) who find that IPOs of speculative grade ("junk") bonds are underpriced, but those rated investment grade are overpriced. Two later studies for the United States report underpricing rather than overpricing (see Helwege and Kleiman (1998) and Cai et al. (2007)). For Japan, Matsui (2000, 2006) finds that IPO and seasoned issues when analyzed together exhibit significant overpricing too.
In this paper, using data on initial (IPO) and seasoned issues of publicly issued straight bonds over the ten year period between March 1992 and March 2002, evidence is presented that suggests the existence of significant mispricing, in particular, overpricing, of these bonds. This overpricing has several features: it does not appear decline overtime; on average, it increases as the rating of the bond issued falls, it is smaller for IPO issues; and it is influenced by the degree of competition among lead underwriters. Compared to Matsui's (2000, 2006) analysis of 599 issues of straight bonds made between March 1995 and March 2000, the analysis in this paper makes several improvements: it covers a wider time period giving a far large sample size (between 1726 and 2247 issues depending on the analysis), and even when limited to the same period as Matsui (2000, 2006) the number of bonds covered is 1490; our data source provides price data on the first day that the bond is transacted in the secondary market rather than data on one day in the first week after the bond is transacted in the secondary market; we follow standard procedures for using matched government bonds of the same maturity as the corporate bond issued; and we take account of possible differences between IPO and seasoned issues.